Pavia vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAV
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 2
TAR
18%
30%
52%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 2
SOR
14%
23%
64%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
REG
2 - 1
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PAV
0 - 2
USF
26%
26%
48%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
USF
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
ASS
44%
28%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 2
REG
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 2
BEN
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |