Pavia vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 2
VIC
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
TRE
1 - 0
PAV
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
PAV
2 - 0
MOD
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
PAR
1 - 0
PAV
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
PAV
4 - 1
TAR
69%
16%
15%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
COM
5 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
ASS
3 - 0
SAL
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
CAG
1 - 1
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 1
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
VER
1 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |