Pavia vs AC Marzotto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ASS
1 - 0
PAV
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
PAV
1 - 1
VER
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
USA
2 - 1
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
PAV
3 - 2
MOD
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
FAN
4 - 0
PAV
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AC Marzotto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
ACM
4 - 0
TRE
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
COM
1 - 0
ACM
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
ASS
0 - 0
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
ACM
2 - 0
PRO
37%
25%
38%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
VIC
0 - 0
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |