Pavia vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
PAV
2 - 1
SAL
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
TER
2 - 1
PAV
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 0
ASS
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 3
PAV
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
PAV
0 - 0
BAR
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ACL
3 - 1
TER
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
ACL
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ACL
3 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ASS
2 - 0
ACL
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 2
TER
21%
23%
57%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |