Pavia vs FC Carpenedolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
ACR
1 - 1
PAV
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PAV
0 - 2
POL
53%
24%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FCC
2 - 1
PAV
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
PAV
2 - 0
SPE
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +3 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PAV
3 - 0
PRO
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Carpenedolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FSD
1 - 1
OLB
60%
23%
18%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
FSD
2 - 2
FER
37%
25%
38%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 2
FSD
53%
24%
24%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
FSD
0 - 0
LEO
47%
25%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PRO
0 - 0
FSD
59%
23%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |