AC Paranavaí vs Toledo EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
CIA
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 0
IRA
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
COT
11%
20%
68%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Toledo EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
2 - 0
ARA
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
0 - 0
LON
39%
24%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ATP
4 - 0
TCW
83%
13%
4%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
TCW
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 0
OPE
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |