AC Paranavaí vs Roma Apucarana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TCW
1 - 2
ACP
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
ACP
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
ACP
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
3 - 1
JMA
45%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Roma Apucarana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
LON
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
ROM
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
JMA
43%
26%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TCW
3 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |