AC Paranavaí vs Rio Branco PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CIA
0 - 0
ACP
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
ACP
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
3 - 1
JMA
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
COT
3 - 1
ACP
88%
10%
3%
|
44 | 83 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 0
ARA
28%
24%
48%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
COT
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
ROM
43%
24%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
4 - 0
RIO
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
CIA
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATP
3 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |