AC Paranavaí vs Nacional PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
3 - 0
ACP
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 1
ATP
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 75 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 2
ARA
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 0
ACP
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 1
TCW
24%
25%
51%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
1 - 1
COT
7%
17%
76%
|
35 | 82 | 47 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
JMA
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
NPR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NPR
0 - 2
LON
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |