AC Paranavaí vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
48%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
ACP
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
45 | 76 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACP
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
TCW
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
LON
3 - 0
ATP
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LON
2 - 1
RIO
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CIA
2 - 0
LON
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LON
1 - 1
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
OPE
0 - 2
LON
41%
25%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |