AC Paranavaí vs Iraty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
COT
11%
20%
68%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 0
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
LON
4 - 0
ACP
51%
23%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 2
OPE
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Iraty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 1
LON
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 0
JMA
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
COT
5 - 1
IRA
85%
11%
4%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
ARA
43%
25%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CIA
3 - 0
IRA
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |