AC Paranavaí vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TCW
0 - 0
ACP
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
0 - 2
ARA
37%
26%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
OPE
3 - 0
ACP
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ACP
2 - 2
COT
11%
19%
70%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JMA
3 - 1
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CIA
1 - 2
ATP
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 2
TCW
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAR
2 - 2
ATP
30%
25%
44%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
NPR
83%
12%
4%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATP
13%
21%
66%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |