AC Monza Sub 19 vs Padova Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
11.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
5º
4º
27
10º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
85% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 62 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 61 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 61 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
64.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
95% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
61.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
51% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
74% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
97% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
USA
1 - 1
ASS
13%
17%
70%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ASS
3 - 1
FER
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
REG
1 - 3
ASS
8%
14%
77%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 3
ASS
24%
21%
55%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ASS
6 - 0
CIT
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Padova Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
VEN
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 2
COM
34%
23%
44%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ABL
1 - 0
PAD
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
PAD
0 - 0
FER
38%
23%
39%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
USA
2 - 6
PAD
36%
23%
41%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |