AC Monza vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
USA
1 - 0
ASS
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
FAN
2 - 1
ASS
51%
23%
26%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1953 |
ASS
2 - 2
PRO
40%
24%
36%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ASS
3 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
VER
4 - 0
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
0 - 2
PRO
43%
24%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
VIC
1 - 0
USA
61%
21%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
COM
2 - 2
VIC
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
VIC
3 - 0
SAL
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
MES
0 - 1
VIC
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |