AC Monza vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
USC
2 - 1
ASS
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FCS
0 - 1
ASS
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ASS
0 - 0
PAG
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACL
1 - 0
ASS
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
USA
2 - 0
PAV
63%
23%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
USA
2 - 1
PER
56%
26%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
REG
1 - 0
USA
45%
27%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
USA
2 - 1
RAV
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |