AC Monza vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 4
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
ASS
3 - 1
ASL
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
USA
0 - 2
GEN
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 4
USA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 2
USA
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |