AC Monza vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAV
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ASG
4 - 0
ASS
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ASS
1 - 1
SOR
44%
26%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 0
BV5
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
REG
3 - 2
ASS
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 0
LEO
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
SAV
1 - 0
TRI
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
REN
1 - 1
TRI
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
ACD
0 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
22%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |