AC Monza vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
12.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
RIM
0 - 0
ASS
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 1
BAR
63%
24%
13%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 2
ASS
47%
28%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 1
JUV
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
FIO
3 - 2
ASS
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 1
TER
45%
31%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
UDI
3 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 2
ASS
47%
28%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
NOC
0 - 0
TAR
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
JUV
2 - 0
TAR
89%
9%
3%
|
60 | 87 | 27 | 0 |