AC Monza vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CES
3 - 1
ASS
67%
22%
12%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
ASS
3 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASS
47%
30%
22%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 0
VIC
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 2
TOR
31%
29%
41%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CAV
0 - 1
VAR
43%
30%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAV
49%
28%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
USC
41%
30%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
CAV
3 - 2
NUO
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 1
NAP
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |