AC Monza vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
USC
3 - 2
ASS
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ASS
2 - 2
PRG
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
BEN
3 - 1
ASS
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
ASS
3 - 2
FRO
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
SPA
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
SPA
0 - 0
PIS
40%
25%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
BEN
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FRO
4 - 0
SPA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 2
BRE
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |