AC Monza vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
DEL
1 - 1
ASS
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
REN
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASS
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 3
ASS
80%
15%
6%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +3 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ASS
3 - 0
FOR
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
REN
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIN
0 - 1
SPA
17%
23%
61%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
8%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 2
SPA
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 1
PER
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |