AC Monza vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
19.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
COS
2 - 1
ASS
50%
29%
21%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
ASS
0 - 0
CES
35%
32%
34%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
FIA
1 - 1
ASS
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
ASS
1 - 3
USC
36%
32%
33%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
TER
0 - 0
ASS
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
SPA
0 - 0
PIA
50%
27%
24%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
BOL
1 - 2
SPA
64%
23%
13%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
SPA
0 - 1
BAR
25%
29%
46%
|
49 | 79 | 30 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1992 |
PIS
0 - 0
SPA
57%
27%
16%
|
48 | 75 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
SPA
2 - 2
VNZ
34%
30%
37%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |