AC Monza vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
22.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
RIM
0 - 1
ASS
51%
30%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 0
PES
51%
28%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
PIS
1 - 1
ASS
50%
30%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
ASS
0 - 0
SAM
49%
29%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1981 |
USF
0 - 0
ASS
63%
22%
14%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 0
TOR
24%
28%
48%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 1
SPA
52%
29%
19%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
SPA
2 - 0
VIC
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 0
SPA
46%
32%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SPA
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |