AC Monza vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
14.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
TER
3 - 1
ASS
45%
32%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
PES
1 - 0
ASS
57%
27%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 0
SSS
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASS
48%
31%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
PIS
49%
29%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 1
SPA
48%
30%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
SPA
2 - 0
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
CES
1 - 2
SPA
54%
29%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAL
48%
28%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |