AC Monza vs Scanzorosciate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 5
ASS
25%
27%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
3 - 1
FAN
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
ASS
20%
21%
59%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
PON
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 3
ASS
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Scanzorosciate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 2
VIR
63%
19%
17%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
DAR
2 - 0
SCA
60%
20%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 1
LEC
17%
19%
64%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DCA
1 - 0
SCA
55%
22%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 3
PER
33%
25%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |