AC Monza vs Savona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BV5
1 - 1
ASS
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 1
RIM
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ACG
1 - 3
ASS
17%
25%
58%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 0
ASS
14%
23%
64%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 0
ASS
11%
21%
67%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Savona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SAV
3 - 2
REN
50%
25%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 0
SAV
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
SAV
0 - 0
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SAV
2 - 0
VNZ
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SCH
2 - 1
SAV
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |