AC Monza vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
20.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASS
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAG
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
ASS
45%
31%
24%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ASS
1 - 1
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASS
45%
31%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
MOD
1 - 3
SAM
42%
30%
27%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
67%
22%
11%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 1
SAM
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
SAM
1 - 2
CAG
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
SAM
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |