AC Monza vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
73.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.2%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
PIA
1 - 1
ASS
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
70%
20%
11%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1987 |
ASS
0 - 3
COM
31%
31%
38%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SSB
5 - 2
ASS
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
ASS
0 - 2
ACM
17%
26%
57%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
EMP
2 - 3
ROM
20%
25%
55%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
ACP
1 - 3
ROM
3%
14%
83%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
ROM
1 - 0
VER
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
TOR
2 - 0
ROM
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |