AC Monza vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 0
POT
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
ASS
3 - 2
PAL
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ASS
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAD
0 - 0
ASS
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
PAD
2 - 0
PRO
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 1
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 0
TRI
60%
23%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |