AC Monza vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
PAR
1 - 1
ASS
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 1
SPA
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
TRI
0 - 2
ASS
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
GEN
3 - 0
ASS
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 0
BRE
45%
28%
28%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
FCC
0 - 0
PRO
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 1
PAL
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
PRO
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
PRO
0 - 2
NAP
46%
29%
26%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
REG
1 - 2
PRO
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |