AC Monza vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
GEN
3 - 1
ASS
63%
23%
15%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ASS
1 - 2
ACP
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASS
54%
27%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
MES
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAL
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
USF
2 - 1
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
PRO
3 - 0
ACM
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 2
PRO
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |