Serie B Playoffs Final
Global 6-4
AC Monza vs Pisa SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
ASS
2 - 1
BRE
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASS
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASS
3 - 0
BEN
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
FRO
4 - 1
ASS
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 0
BEN
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 0
PIS
56%
21%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
FRO
1 - 2
PIS
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 1
NUO
61%
24%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
PIS
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |