AC Monza vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
29.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 1
BOL
35%
31%
34%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
SSS
2 - 0
ASS
58%
27%
15%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
BAR
40%
29%
30%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
CAT
2 - 0
ASS
69%
22%
10%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
ASS
2 - 1
CAM
61%
21%
19%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAT
48%
32%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 1
PRG
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
PRG
3 - 0
CAM
58%
28%
14%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PRG
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
PRG
0 - 2
BAR
47%
32%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |