AC Monza vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 1
LAZ
45%
29%
27%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
4 - 2
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LIV
2 - 1
PRG
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
PRG
3 - 1
CAT
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 1
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
LAZ
0 - 0
PRG
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
TER
3 - 2
PRG
47%
22%
31%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |