AC Monza vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SER
0 - 2
ASS
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 0
CIS
79%
14%
6%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PSM
0 - 3
ASS
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
VBE
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASS
18%
25%
57%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
PER
2 - 0
DAR
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PER
1 - 0
DCA
57%
24%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PRO
3 - 0
PER
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
PER
1 - 2
PSM
44%
27%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SER
1 - 3
PER
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +2 |