AC Monza vs Pergolettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PSM
1 - 0
ASS
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 3
ACM
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 87 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASS
3 - 2
CIS
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 1
ASS
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 3
INV
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Pergolettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
VAR
30%
24%
47%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GRU
1 - 3
PER
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
PSM
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
CIS
37%
24%
38%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PIA
2 - 0
PER
78%
15%
7%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |