AC Monza vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
32.8%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.8%
28.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
CAG
3 - 0
ASS
39%
31%
29%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
52%
28%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
REG
1 - 0
ASS
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ASS
1 - 0
TRI
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
PAR
5 - 1
COS
43%
30%
27%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
PAR
48%
29%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 1
ANC
45%
30%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
COM
0 - 0
PAR
55%
26%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 0
PES
32%
30%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |