AC Monza vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
FCC
2 - 1
ASS
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 0
BAR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 3
ASS
56%
26%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ASS
2 - 3
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
COM
1 - 1
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
PAR
2 - 3
NOV
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 1
MES
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |