AC Monza vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1955 |
USA
2 - 2
ASS
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
ASS
0 - 0
ACM
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
UNI
3 - 2
ASS
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ASS
2 - 0
PAV
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
ASS
0 - 0
COM
47%
27%
25%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 1
TRE
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1955 |
VIC
2 - 1
PAR
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
1 - 2
CAG
65%
20%
16%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAR
45%
23%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |