AC Monza vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACL
1 - 0
ASS
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ASS
3 - 3
SAL
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAV
1 - 0
ASS
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ASS
2 - 3
ASG
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SOR
1 - 0
ASS
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PAG
0 - 0
SOR
23%
26%
52%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
PER
0 - 0
PAG
54%
26%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
PAG
2 - 0
REG
26%
28%
46%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
RAV
1 - 0
PAG
65%
22%
13%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 0
SPA
21%
25%
54%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |