AC Monza vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
SON
2 - 2
ASS
16%
21%
63%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 0
GRU
53%
21%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PER
0 - 0
ASS
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 3
PSM
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 2
VAR
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PER
1 - 1
OLG
41%
27%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 1
PSM
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
1 - 3
OLG
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 1
PIA
14%
22%
64%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |