AC Monza vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
REN
2 - 1
ASS
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 1
ASS
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 1
ASS
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ASS
4 - 0
SAS
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 1
OLG
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
OLG
4 - 0
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 3
OLG
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
OLG
1 - 1
PIA
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ACC
1 - 2
OLG
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |