AC Monza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
23.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
SSS
0 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 2
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
VER
1 - 0
ASS
78%
14%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
ASS
1 - 1
JUV
7%
18%
75%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
BAR
3 - 1
ASS
59%
26%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 3
ACM
14%
21%
65%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1976 |
ATL
3 - 0
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1976 |
LAZ
3 - 2
NOV
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1976 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAT
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1976 |
USF
1 - 0
NOV
57%
26%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |