AC Monza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
20%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 2
PRG
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIV
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASS
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 1
LAZ
45%
29%
27%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VER
0 - 0
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
NOV
2 - 1
MOD
47%
28%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NOV
60%
26%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 1
VER
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
LEC
1 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
ASS
4 - 2
NOV
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -2 |