AC Monza vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
CAG
2 - 1
ASS
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
VNZ
0 - 1
ASS
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ASS
0 - 0
LEC
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
ACP
0 - 1
ASS
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1958 |
FED
1 - 2
ASS
35%
22%
43%
|
69 | 24 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1958 |
NOV
2 - 1
TAR
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
NOV
1 - 0
MES
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
SSS
1 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
NOV
2 - 0
VER
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
BRE
4 - 0
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |