AC Monza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
CAG
1 - 1
ASS
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 0
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASS
59%
26%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
VAR
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
45%
30%
25%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
50%
30%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
MOD
1 - 0
ASC
34%
31%
35%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
2 - 2
MOD
67%
23%
10%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
MOD
0 - 0
BRE
46%
30%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |