AC Monza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
18.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
TAR
2 - 3
ASS
36%
31%
34%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 0
VAR
35%
32%
33%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
ASS
1 - 1
PIA
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
ATL
0 - 1
ASS
59%
25%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1970 |
ASS
0 - 0
COM
53%
27%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
MOD
1 - 0
TER
46%
27%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
PIA
0 - 0
MOD
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 0
MOD
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
MOD
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |