AC Monza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 3
ASS
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASS
63%
23%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 2
BAR
43%
29%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
GEN
0 - 0
MOD
65%
22%
13%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
VNZ
1 - 0
MOD
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 2
PAD
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEC
51%
28%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |