AC Monza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
TOR
1 - 0
ASS
65%
19%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1960 |
ASS
2 - 0
VER
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 2
ASS
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
ASS
4 - 1
TAR
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1960 |
COM
2 - 1
ASS
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
MOD
0 - 0
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1960 |
MOD
1 - 0
LEC
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
0 - 0
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1960 |
MOD
3 - 0
VNZ
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1960 |
MAN
4 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |