AC Monza vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
USA
2 - 0
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
ASS
0 - 1
PRO
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1956 |
TAR
2 - 0
ASS
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ASS
3 - 1
VNZ
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
MOD
1 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
VER
2 - 0
MOD
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1956 |
MOD
0 - 1
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
VNZ
2 - 1
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
MOD
2 - 1
COM
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |